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Saturday 1 January 2022

2022 PREDICTIONS OMNIBUS

Whew! Pretty glad we all made it to 2022 (except for the small number of people who got so drunk they went down an alternative timeline and ended up back at the beginning of 2021—poor guys!)

So, Happy New Year! Surely things can only get better, or can they? That is the question we are all uneasily asking ourselves. To help us all deal with our chronophobia (or anticipatory anxiety)
Affirmative Right has sent out the call for predictions and received a flood of reassuring—or at least reassuringly unlikely—prognostications from a diverse cast of characters (yes, our greatest strength!). So, here they are in order of accuracy: 

Note
~ I came back here at the end of 2022 and checked how they did, giving 
-1 point for wrong predictions, 0 points for unconfirmed predictions, and 3 points for correct predictions 
(Ed.). 

RICHARD WOLSTENCROFT, filmmaker, vlogger, and writer (-3 points)

(1) Soylent Green is gonna be delicious. Exciting news for 2022. The Soylent Green company - a new subsidiary of Pfizer has announced an exciting range of soy based food products. The new delicious food substance full of protein are proving so popular at food distribution centres there are riots. So remember Tuesday and Friday are Soylent Green days! WRONG

(2) Vaccine passports are so 2021! We need a social credit system. Leading the way as usual Supreme commander and Emperor of the Chinese Communist Party Mr Xi Jinping Esq. has been leading the way in social progress for a long time. His wise and sage Confucian advice to The West to turn their vaccine passports into a social credit system seems long overdue. This lovely new system will monitor if you over eat, drink too much, gamble too much, drive badly or think too much. It’s the thing for 2022 that should have been introduced back in 1984! It’s nearly 40 years overdue! Rock on Xenu Xi! 
WRONG

(3) No fish pls, just the chips! Due to over-fishing, the oceans must be protected. So fish is off the menu - outside Soylent Green plankton products! It’s time to get over the fear of the micro chip implanted in your hand! World renowned multi-trillionaire philanthropist Bill Gates wants us all to have micro chips and it’s time to get over the prejudice to these advanced new technological items. Think of the convenience! Just one swipe and you are all done...forever. Only one small shortfall - the mark of the beast - but who it’s arguing over small details like that anymore? Chip on! 
WRONG

DAVID COLE, Taki's Mag writer (-3 points)

(1) The campaign to rename Lynchburg will become a huge deal. Knowing that Youngkin will oppose it, the left will force the issue to tar him as a racist. The entire matter will turn into a nightly obsession for MSNBC and Fox, thus distracting from the Chinese nuking Taiwan. Suggested replacement names for Lynchburg will include Kendiville, Denzeltown, Floydonia, and EBTeterboro. 
WRONG

(2) A scandal will break out when it’s discovered that a cottage industry in Hollywood has emerged that manufactures fake ethnic histories for white actors, so they can avoid the hiring cap on whites imposed by the major streaming services. “Marranotech” will be run by Jews and for a fee they’ll create a digital history proving an actor/actress is an octoroon (quadroon will cost extra). For actors who prefer to go brown, they’ll make a full-on digitally-altered teenage Quinceañera video, complete with a certificate of authenticity from Padre Rafael Jiménez of Our Blessed Lady of Cantinflas. 
WRONG

(3) Transsexuals will launch an all-out fight over “gendered” songs, pushing to get them banned from radio airplay and audio streaming. “Lady in Red” will be rerecorded as “Gender-Fluid Crimson Human.” “Girl from Ipanema” will become “Man Who Went to Ipanema for Gender Affirmation Surgery and Returned as the Girl from Ipanema.” “You’re a Big Girl Now” will become “I’m the Biggest Girl on the Swim Team,” and “Lay Lady Lay” will become “Lay Lady Lay With Your Huge Penis.” However, when the transsexuals go after “Thank Heaven for Little Girls,” they’ll encounter opposition from pedophiles. The fight will end when both sides realize it’s a brother war. 
WRONG

ANDY NOWICKI, novelist and vlogger (-2 points)

(1) In 2022, Epstein's Island will be remodeled into a theme park.
 WRONG
(2) In 2022, Rhode Island will secede from the Union, appointing Sam Hyde as its Supreme Leader. WRONG

HEWITT E. MOORE, Affirmative Right writer (1 point)

(1) Kamala Harris will be running the country at some point in 2022: It doesn't take a doctor to see that Biden is old and not in the best of health. It's certainly plausible that he has some kind of medical issue in 2022 that requires him to take a leave of absence, which means Kamala Harris would fill his shoes. The MSM will ironically hyperfocus on "equality" with countless "First Black Woman...." pieces, always focusing on her gender and race and never on her merit or achievements. WRONG

(2) Bitcoin will fall below $25K in 2022: Bitcoin was on a roller coaster ride in 2021, ranging from $27K to $69K during the year. The "new car smell" of BTC has wore off and all of the armchair investors who thought they were going to make millions have lost money and moved on, leaving just the HODLers. That will drop the value of the "coin" down into the $25K range, but will also stabilize it to the point that there will be less volatility in 2022. I'd also like to throw 2 pennies on the ground: I don't see BTC ever becoming the systemically revolutionary decentralized currency that the true believers foresee, but I do see it having value as a form of digital gold. CORRECT

(3) COVID incompetency and mass censorship will create a grassroots movement: Pandemics have historically lasted 2 years before becoming endemic. The COVID pandemic should be over. Every prediction the "experts" have made, and every measure they have taken, has been wrong. At the time of this writing (Dec 31, 2021), 845,000 people have died of COVID in the US, and the CDC predicts another 45,000 people will die within the next month. That's 900K people dead, and there are significantly more cases today than this time last year: Dec 29, 2020: 184,840 vs Dec 29, 2021: 486,428 (and that's with 78% of people over the age of 5 vaccinated, not too mention that number is assumed to be very low because a lot of people are taking home tests that aren't reported). People are starting to ask the questions: "What if these experts had just instructed people to use common sense instead of being tyrants? Would more people have died? Did masks work? Did lockdowns work? Did the vaccines work? Why are so many vaccinated people catching COVID? Is it Antibody-Dependent Enhancement? Why are "experts" with a differing opinion censored?" The arbitrators of truth on Big Tech platforms claim to censor COVID misinformation, but that's just not true. You can post all the misinformation you want as long as it conforms to the narrative. Millions and millions of people have been ostracized and silenced. It's not like these people are just going to go sit in their Lazyboys and watch ballgames (ok, most will, but not all). Look for an organic grassroots Tea Party-type movement to form in 2022, with the focus being censorship and government tyranny. If this happens, I think a charismatic leader will emerge and become a leading candidate for the 2024 election. UNCONFIRMED

Bonus: Conor McGregor will fight in the summer or fall of 2022 and lose again. He will never win another fight in the UFC. WRONG

A tsunami of predictions
BRETT STEVENS, editor of Amerika.com (2 points)

2022 will be a response to the Great Revelation -- where we found out that we are all becoming South Africa, Mexico, and Vietnam -- in which humanity had to confront the grim fact of its decline. People are not reproducing, especially the intelligent; this is a warning sign of imminent death. Our infrastructure has rotted, our institutions are corrupt enough that elections can be stolen, and everyone in power seems incompetent and self serving. This is typical Late Stage Democracy and means that regime change is on the wind. So let's see what might happen in 2022...

(1) COVID denial goes mainstream. The Establishment is going to wind down this epidemic at some point although they are going to try to extend it to the 'Murkan 2022 elections in November. Omicron has fizzled, so they'll invent a few more variants with catchy names like "Airborne Ebola" and "Instant AIDS." People are defecting, and as that happens, the powers-that-be will try to memory hole how fake and stupid everything was. This will result in a large population entirely disconnected from mass media, social media, and government across the West. 
UNCONFIRMED

(2) The Dissident Right collapses. Right now, the Dissident Right is trying to make itself popular by pitching a Christian parallel economy and dropping out of the mainstream. This is doomed because it fits right into what is happening socially, which is White Flight 2.0 to the suburbs and countryside. In short, the Dissident Right has admitted that it has no ideas, but is just aping what is popular. That is fatal to a dissident movement. 
CORRECT

(3) China implodes. Trump set them up to bomb by mainstreaming the idea of decoupling, or cutting our economy free from a failing regime blighted by internal power struggles, as Asiatic tyrannies tend to be. Once he broke the surface tension, lots of other people followed, but Europe is still holding on to its primary cash generator. As China gets more unstable, it will become more controlling and aggressive, causing the world to isolate it, at which point its hybrid economy and third way political system will collapse into typical third world disorder. 
WRONG

Trump said "the best is yet to come" and the Q-tards say "nothing can stop what is coming," but these accurately describe the inertia of our time. People lost faith in 2021 as the system theoretically designed for their benefit turned on them, seizing power for itself while destroying their lives. This was not a pro-active move, but a defensive one: the system is failing and fears regime change, which means that regime change is within the realm of possible.

As Thomas Pynchon wrote, ballistic inertia is a funny thing. In the first part of the cycle, it seems like an unstoppable force, pushing us upward, but because it is unguided flight, eventually gravity takes over and then the same power that thrusts it upward flings it toward earth. A big crash is coming and we have known it for centuries, but people tried to dig in their heels and have been throwing screaming tantrums to keep it from showing up. That just failed, and so now we are looking at vast change on the horizon.

KEITH PRESTON, author and editor of Attack the System (2 points)

(1) After the Omicron variant subsides, a new variant will appear, along with calls for once again extending "public health" measures. 
WRONG
(2) The overall gain in the Consumer Price Index for 2022 will be at least 4% as inflation continues to be a problem. CORRECT
(3) The Supreme Court will overturn Roe v. Wade, thereby handing the Democrats an electoral gift in the 2022 mid-terms or, conversely, the Supreme Court does not overturn Roe v. Wade, allowing the Republicans to make significant gains in the mid-terms, although not the rout the GOP is hoping for.
UNCONFIRMED

MATT PEGAS, podcaster and author (2 points)

(1) Covid pandemic does not "end" but by the end of next year everyone on both sides of the aisle is notably more calibrated to a world with some variant always in the background. No more total lockdowns, but masks, vaccine passes, a general culture of fretting about it are here for the foreseeable future. CORRECT
(2) Substantial red-wave in November, which establishment Republicans will have the wrong takeaways from. WRONG
(3) Everything will be, to quote Houellebecq, the same but shittier. UNCONFIRMED

PILLEATER, founder of Asian-Aryanism (2 points)

(1) Caleb Maupin will continue to woo over the Unite The Right-to-anticapitalist canon. Maupin will be responsible for a new class of race realist, or an anti-leftist coalition of new “communists” that takes the original energy of vantards, but gives a permissible political correctness. WRONG

(2) Keith Woods will fall out of power. CORRECT

(3) White Arts Collective, Antelope Hill Publishing, and other new far-right publications will surpass the success of both Arktos and Counter-Currents. This is likely because of print-on-demand technology, in-fighting, and how the Overton window of artistic “right minded” people are accepted. No longer will there be a monopoly on far-right publishing, as new publishing competitors will rise. However, the divide will between the “we wuz white people” wignat mentality versus the nouvelle droite intellectualism. The “identitarianism” concept, which tried to use postmodern semantics, failed in the last decade, as it did not translate well with American audiences. There will be shift from intellectualism and critical theory, and back into a new hipster subculture. UNCONFIRMED

(4) The days of the “culture war,” “metapoltics,” and internet polemics is over. Every internet “platform” is a Silicon Valley tool. There will be a new understanding of how the internet and data works. The far-right will still create data, but this data will be buried by new means. The previous reasoning was to invade “spaces” like on TikTok or make commentary on the latest Netflix show, but this is an out-of-date Cultural Marxist notion, where even Breadtube is using this to its advantage. The far-right will see the rise of a new neo-reactionary movement, where, instead of going back to a previous system, it will focus on “archeofuturism” or “deep ecology” futurism and preserving tradition. However, this too has limitations, as this “preserving tradition” cannot fall under the idiocracy of what the American conservative movement thinks. The dialogue will be about humanity versus trans humanism, or humanity versus the evil Skynet Ai that wishes to conquer the earth. UNCONFIRMED

(4) Subculture will be at the center of any future far-right development. Most who know this started to follow Caleb Maupin and became far-right anticapitalists, surrogating “communism” with racial nationalism without capitalism. Those who embrace subculture will continue the “Trad” fad, just as the last 4 years saw the whole “e-Christianity” movement happen. However, subculture will continue to blind people further, and set the far-right back again by two decades. E-boys and grifters will continue to appear out of nowhere because of TikTok popularity or cool kids meeting up with Sam Hyde. UNCONFIRMED

(5) Sam Hyde will fall. And that will be the day the far-right can move on from that complete fucking idiot, and from the Million Dollar Extreme / Ryan Trecartin ugly hipster shit. A new interest in Dennis Cooper, Edmund White, Andrew Holleran, and Jamie Stewart will pop up out of the blue. A new worship around Yukio Mishima will be about queerness, not about nationalism. Far-right culture will embrace the abuse, depravity, and redemption of avant-garde gay literature. 

4chan culture and normie internet talk will still invade the far-right mind, making them weaker. Words like "based" and "mogged", once used to determine anti-liberal values, have been taken over by normies, and thus liberals call each other "based" at white collar parties. The far-right will still latch on to 4chan talk to be in the cool kids club. However, my prediction is that there will be new hacker lingo, and a full understanding that the far-right is just making data over the internet. The internet is still considered an illusion. Those who run the internet are introverted people, computer hackers, and not hipster normies. There will be an interest in Eric S. Raymond and an understanding that the internet has always been a platform for hackers and "anti-social queers." The new semantics is that the enemy is "the cathedral." No more "everything I don't like is literally Jewish." I have no hope for the far-right when it just becomes a novelty for those who have an image of a Hollywood Nazi in their head. UNCONFIRMED

TONY MARTEL, author (3 points)

(1) The year of marriage. The world will see the most marriages in decades as people will finally tie the knot after not being able to after 2 years of lockdowns, social distancing, and banning of large public events. UNCONFIRMED
(2) Movie theatres will be revived. The tremendous success of Spider-Man: No Way Home demonstrates people will still go out for a night at the movies if it looks good enough and gets good word of mouth. Christopher Nolan's new contract after leaving Warner Bros. having an exclusive window in theatres before streaming has set this standard. UNCONFIRMED
(3) Eric Adams will be a major disappointment as NYC. He will do little to reverse The Big Apples descent into Detroit on the Hudson. CORRECT

JAMES LAWRENCE, editor of Affirmative Right (3 points)

(1) The Coof will recede out of the limelight, but the expanded public health bureaucracy will stick around and find new public enemies to fight. Lockdowns will become routine when flu season comes round, or some new virus appears somewhere in Asia or Africa. There will be a "vigorous democratic debate" on whether people should be allowed to do anything at all that might possibly cause themselves or other people to die, such as driving cars or going outside their homes. New social rituals will be built up around artificial mysophobic hysteria, and the usual scapegoats and unbelievers will be viewed not just as sinful but as materially unclean and contaminated. Partly as a result of all this, supply-chain problems and general imperial decline will worsen, but this will be rationalised as a new form of progress by means of the climate change ideology (e.g. "here's how queuing for bread helps us save our planet"). In the long run, expect to see an exciting new synthesis of climatological weather-shamanism, virological mass exorcism and existing cults of state-worship. UNCONFIRMED

(2) The transgender movement, having hit the big time, will be mainstreamed in much the same way as modern feminism was after the '60s and '70s. Barriers to entry will be lowered, so surgical transition will no longer be a rite of passage for trannies, just as bra-burning and lesbianism are no longer required for feminists. The movement will evolve for breadth, not depth, and develop into a sort of state-enforced larping based on cross-dressing, public transgression, narcissistic fantasy, and mental health identity. It may absorb other mental health subcultures, e.g. Dissociative Identity Disorder, which allows unlimited identity-switching – a useful superpower for generating rape accusations or getting exonerated from crimes! Paedophiles will continue to wait their turn, but will prepare the ground by having their "minor attracted" identity officially recognised, and then extending this to everyone physically attracted to girls under the age of 20. Expect conservatives to become dogged crusaders for all of this stuff in their never-ending quest to win the culture war and own the libs. UNCONFIRMED

(3) Ordinary people will continue trying to solve all of these problems by voting out the bastards at election time, to no effect whatsoever. Instead of dissuading them, the Dissident Right will gravitate further towards empty talk radio populism, and eventually end up as an edgier version of the Intellectual Dork Web. It will become more stagnant, fraudulent and delusional, as it chases the donations of boomers radicalised by QAnon, and tries to tap the support of Covid sceptics by adding its talking points to the existing stock of conspiracy theories. Expect most or all high-profile figures to become sellouts, dropouts or grifters, as they pursue the carrot of mass support and dodge the stick of tighter internet restrictions. A more radical dissidence will take shape among younger, more heavily anonymous people, but it will be limited in its reach and may become an artistic movement to compensate for its political irrelevance. CORRECT

UTTER CONTEMPT, blogger (3 points)

(1) Without need for drastic action, the unmanageable ocean of information and verbiage will as a matter of necessity continue giving way to brevity and instinct until the power of technology over your life breaks imperceptibly and the terrifying glory of nature reasserts itself. 
UNCONFIRMED
(2) Your personal red-pilling will proceed into realms of progressively more ancient and increasingly uncomfortable truths, leading to realizations you scarcely could have anticipated in spite of all you thought you already knew. UNCONFIRMED 
(3) You will learn to exhibit sternness and assert yourself, free from superego and the restraints of conventional opinion. CORRECT

COLIN LIDDELL, editor of Affirmative Right (4 points)

(1) After an attempt to kill her fails due to a diversity hire in the Deep State, Ghislaine Maxwell will spill the beans on Epstein Island and the Lolita express. Prince Andrew will then have a totally unconnected but fatal driving accident in a treeless wilderness in the Scottish Highlands. 
WRONG
(2) Valérie Pécresse will win the French Presidential election after Zemmour and Le Pen split the more nationalist and right-wing part of the vote, setting up a Pécresse vs. Macron final round. WRONG
(3)  Boris Johnson will 'sadly' pass away from the Omicron variant. CORRECT
(4) The Alt-Right will once again show its astounding 'intellectual depth' by christening the tail-end of the Covid hysteria "the Boomer Death Cult." CORRECT

LUKE FORD, vlogger (5 points)

(1) Republicans take House and Senate in the midterms. 
WRONG
(2) Biden's presidency limps along UNCONFIRMED
(3) Rise of alt tech allowing for more free speech, largely based on blockchain technology. So by 2023, we will have more effective online free speech than we do now. CORRECT
(4) Odysee grows by leaps and bounds. CORRECT

EDWIN OSLAN, rock n' roll rightist (5 points)

(1) Another cop will kill a black guy but there will be diminishing returns in terms of outrage. 
CORRECT
(2) Republicans will take Congress. WRONG
(3) Covid will magically become just the cold and Joe Biden will take all the credit. CORRECT

SWITHUN DOBSON, podcaster (5 points)

(1) Health and the Environment will supplant democracy as the legitimising ideology of the State in Western Europe. 
CORRECT
(2) Boris Johnson will be ousted as Prime Minister. CORRECT
(3) If Coronavirus restrictions are consigned to history, we may see a small baby boom. UNCONFIRMED
(4) J.K. Rowling will come out as a man. WRONG

SEAN GABB, Libertarian and historian (6 points)

(1) The Queen will die. 
CORRECT
(2) Boris Johnson will look increasingly like Jabba the Hutt. CORRECT
(3) Someone writing in The Guardian will seriously suggest putting oral vaccines in the water supply. UNCONFIRMED

DANIEL BARGE
Affirmative Right writer (6 points)

(1) Hollywood will achieve its 5-year plan of increasing the production of superhero movies by 900% one year early.  
UNCONFIRMED
(2) Sometime during the year Bitcoin will suddenly disappear and everyone will simply pretend that it never existed. Because it didn't. CORRECT
(3) Sometime during the year Covid will also suddenly disappear and everyone will simply pretend that it never existed. Because it didn't either. CORRECT



REMI TREMBLAY, editor of Le Harfang (
Quebecois nationalist periodical) (6 points)

I was a bit thrown off balance, in every sense of the term, when I received Colin Liddell’s offer to give my predictions for 2022. Between the eggnog and the whiskey, only a few hours after Quebec’s Grinch François Legault had ruined New Year like he had ruined Christmas, the future looked grim. Having never been a naïve optimist in any way, I could difficulty come up with a positive point for the year to come, something that can definitely classify me in the “reactionary” it-was-better-before camp that I have always tried avoiding. But Charles Maurras once said that pessimism was an utter stupidity. I thus left the single malt and tried to focus on predictions that would be somehow accurate.

(1) The first prediction is about the pandemics. A few days after the lockdown of Quebec caused by this xth wave, more contagious, but less dangerous, I feel it will continue being exploited by our leaders who spread their control over every facet of our existence to eventually achieve what China is doing with her citizens. Just like the post 9-11 measures have become permanent and have now been accepted and internalized, the new powers grabbed by the States will just be part of what the redefining of our rights in a “democratic country”. UNCONFIRMED

(2) The second one is political: in Quebec and France there will be elections in 2022. In the Belle Province there is no risk in predicting the following: Legault will be reelected with a very high margin that will leave the opposition fighting to remain somehow relevant in the political landscape. As for France, Emmanuel Macron will be reelected despite everything. The French nationalists are gaining momentum but will be divided. They are trying a new strategy with a Jewish journalist contesting the hegemony of the National Rally to represent the growing discontent. This will allow Macron to ensure his presence at the second round while diminishing the nationalists’ chances of taking part in that final contest. CORRECT

(3) As for the third prediction, the eggnog helping a bit, I thought of prophesying something less predictable. To make sure that forecast would not come to haunt me in the future if it proved to be wrong, I could have phrased it in a somehow semi-mysterious way, using a style in between the Chinese cookies and Nostradamus. I could have penned something that could apply to both Taiwan and the dematerialization of money and, by remaining deliberately blurry, I could have boasted in December 2022: “you see that I was right: this is what I had forecast.” But being a bit too humble for this kind of exercise and really being appealed by the single malt awaiting me, I decided not to go for a third one, preferring to end by paraphrasing Dominique Venner who kept on saying that the only rule in history is the unexpected. CORRECT


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