by Daniel Barge
Black pill: As it stands today, Whites are part of a declining civilisation and a dying demographic. Yes, "they"—whoever "they" may be—may very well replace us, as well as themselves through rootless race-mixing.
White pill: Having said that, it is extremely difficult to predict the future, especially using projections of past trends. This is because here there is the assumption that the future will be essentially the same as the past, which it almost never is.
However, in order for the future to diverge more strongly from a past that we abhor, an awareness of that past and its trends is useful. So, bearing that in mind, let us consider the best data available, and plot the dates at which selected White countries are projected to go majority non-White.
Let us pray that it isn't so.
However, in order for the future to diverge more strongly from a past that we abhor, an awareness of that past and its trends is useful. So, bearing that in mind, let us consider the best data available, and plot the dates at which selected White countries are projected to go majority non-White.
Let us pray that it isn't so.
1. AMERICA (2045)
One US government estimate sees America becoming a minority non-White state sometime after the Boomer generation dies off:
New census population projections confirm the importance of racial minorities as the primary demographic engine of the nation’s future growth, countering an aging, slow-growing and soon to be declining white population. The new statistics project that the nation will become “minority white” in 2045. During that year, whites will comprise 49.9 percent of the population in contrast to 24.6 percent for Hispanics, 13.1 percent for blacks, 7.8 percent for Asians, and 3.8 percent for multiracial populations.
2. CANADA (2054)
In 2017 the Vancouver Sun reported the findings of Professor Eric Kaufmann of the University of London, who calculated that almost seven out of 10 Vancouver residents would be “visible minorities” (i.e. non-Whites) within two decades, while 80% of the Canadian population (compared to 20% today) would be non-white in less than century:
Kaufmann notes that, with its continuing high immigration intake and the fact that four out of five newcomers are visible minorities, Canada is undergoing the fastest rate of ethnic change of any country in the Western world.
Questions must be asked about why such drastic population replacement is taking place and who is benefiting from it.
While Canada has been helped by large-scale immigration at various times in its history, the current high intake causes more problems than benefits for our current population. Our economy grows because of the increasing population, but the average Canadian gets a smaller piece of the bigger pie. The cost is huge — with latest estimates indicating taxpayers have to underwrite recent arrivals to the tune of around $30 billion annually. Young people in large cities such as Vancouver and Toronto are being crowded out of the housing market by sky-high prices caused largely by the ceaseless flow of new arrivals, and the quality of life of most residents is negatively affected by increased traffic and commute times, along with congestion and pressure on the health care and education systems.
These findings were published in Kaufmann's 2004 book "The Rise and Fall of Anglo-America." If we split the difference between the 80% White Canada of 2004 and the 20% White Canada of 2104, then the crossover point should be around 2054. This will probably be after France turns majority non-White.
2. FRANCE (BEFORE 2057)
France tries hard to pretend that race does not exist, and refuses to record race data. But there are ways to gauge the growth of the country's non-White population. For example, back in 2012, we published Falko Baumgartner's important research on neonatal screening for sickle cell disease as a means for estimating France's growing non-White population.
Perhaps the best-known survey of France's future demographic trends was published by the French financier Charles Gave in 2017, which was reported on by the Washington Times.
Gave predicted that France would become majority Muslim within 40 years. As many non-Whites in France are not Muslim and as almost all Muslims are non-White, this means that France will become majority non-White well before 2057:
Gave predicted that France would become majority Muslim within 40 years. As many non-Whites in France are not Muslim and as almost all Muslims are non-White, this means that France will become majority non-White well before 2057:
The financier draws his conclusion from demographics. He assesses France’s white, or native, birthrate at 1.4 children per woman, compared with a Muslim rate of 3.4 to 4 children. France’s population today is 67 million. Unlike the U.S., France does not conduct a census on ethnic origin, but based on outside polling, some researchers, including Mr. Gave, believe the French population is already 10 percent Muslim, with 6.7 million people. France’s official birthrate is 1.9 per woman, but Mr. Gave’s calculations put the native rate at 1.4. Overall, the European birthrate is a low 1.6 per woman.
4. GERMANY (AFTER 2060)
A statistical analysis by Professor Adorján F. Kovács from the Goethe University at Frankfurt, published in the The European Magazine in 2015 emphasised the fact that non-White and Muslin migration was heavily impacting the nation's younger demographic.
Due to Germany's insane family reunification policy, Kovács estimated that 8 million non-Whites would effectively be added to the 15 million people in the age group 20-to-35 years old. Because of lower White birth rates this would then steadily grow, leading to non-Whites becoming a total majority within decades.
Due to Germany's insane family reunification policy, Kovács estimated that 8 million non-Whites would effectively be added to the 15 million people in the age group 20-to-35 years old. Because of lower White birth rates this would then steadily grow, leading to non-Whites becoming a total majority within decades.
Kovács fails to give an exact date, but it can be inferred as sometime after 2060, following the dying-off of Germany's boomers.
5. The UNITED KINGDOM (AFTER 2066)
A report by the academic organisation Migration Observatory written in 2013 estimated that the United Kingdom would become majority non-White-British in 2066:
Prof Coleman said migration has become the “primary driver of demographic change”. According to the data, around a fifth of people in the UK are non-white or non-British. But this is expected to rise to a quarter by 2025, a third by 2040 and reach up to 38 per cent by 2050. The increase from 2010 to 2050 in the UK – by 22 percentage points – is the highest of the main western countries analysed.
Here it should be said that Whites will not be a minority in 2066, only White Britons. Also, because non-British Whites may assimilate and effectively become "British" by adopting British ethnicity, the date at which White Britons become a minority may be several decades later, possibly even next century.
Interestingly, this report was written before BREXIT and at the height of EU migration. It remains to be seen how BREXIT changes things. One possibility is that the UK will allow more migration from non-White countries to replace the drop in migration from countries like Poland and Roumania. If so, White Britons becoming a minority will mean Whites in general becoming a minority much more quickly.